Samstag, 31. Januar 2015

Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund

Statistic:

- Leverkusen won not one of the last 7 home matches against Dortmund (0-4-3).
- Against no other team is Leverkusen waiting so long for a win, since 2007.
- Dortmund was the first time on bottom zone over the winter break and playing their 2nd weakest season.
- Leverkusen stands with 28 Points on third place now but it is an absolutely negative number.
- Since we have the 3 Points rule, no team has less Points after 17 Rounds as Leverkusen this time.
- The last 8 games against Leverkusen were all standard situations.
- Dortmund scored only 4 goals after free kicks or corners, so they are limited there.
- New signing Kevin Kampl played for Leverkusen youth already.


After Wolfsburg's win yesterday and the advantage of 9 Points to Leverkusen they have to look forward to get the 3 Points today that they can hold the pressure on the second placed team from Wolfsburg high. According to news, they have some players not available as with Son and Kruse are both at the Asia Cup and both are in the final and played against each other today. The Australian Kruse had the better outcome, he won the Asia Cup with Australia. Also wing Jedvaj is not ready after a muscle problem. In this case the positions from Jedvaj and Son must be replaced here. First on the wing can be Hilbert who has a lot of experience and in offensive line it can be Drmic who takes the place from Son. Some options for Schmitt here, he can play with two strikers Drmic and Kießling and two players behind with Calhanoglu and Bellarabi or he change to one striker and let Drmic play on the wing. All is possible. Hopefully their batteries are full again and we can expect an equal match from them as to begin of the season where they overcome Dortmund easily and had not much problems to control the game with their high pressing.

The team from Dortmund played their 2nd weakest first half of the season and they sit at the bottom now. For this reason they signed Kampl form Salzburg to get more action in their offensive play with his fast dribblings. Also they want to have some more options if Reus oder some others are not available to due injuries. They had a lot of absent players and this time again a lot of problems arrived in Dortmund. With Bender, Kehl and sometimes Gündogan they had not many central midfield players left. The first two are out for sure today, also Kuba is not ready. Kagawa missed the preparation because he was in Australia and played the Asia Cup with Japan. Aubameyang was in Africa to play the Cup with Gabun there but they are already out and he returns but is he ready? From warm weather into cold weather it is a huge step. Some changes happened anyway because with Langerak is one player with his national team and in this case Weidenfeller returns into the goal today. Also defender Socrates is back from injury and can play beside Hummels in central back. Central midfield is more difficult because they miss some here. It would be nice to see what Coach Klopp field there. Maybe Sahin and Gündogan, if he can play. Offensive is also open above all the attackers are not very good in front of the goal. Immobile has a lot to improve, also Ramos has not his best level and Aubameyang returns from African Cup recently. The biggest thing what was to see in friendlies is that they count more on defensive, they played several times 1-0 and tried not to allow much. This is the new philosophy from Klopp maybe and the key to get out of the red zone.

I expect a very open match here as both teams has a lot of class in their rows.

Saturday Update 2 !!!

Hamburger SV - 1.FC Köln

Statistic:

- In past years HSV played 7 times against Cologne and is was spectacle with 31 goals !!!
- Since 09/10 in no BL duels are more goals average as in this one 4,43
- But Hamburg 9 and Cologne 17 goals are not known for their scoring power this season.
- Both teams are one of the weakest sides in this category right now, and played already 4 times 0-0.
- Colonge won 3 of their last 5 road trips, they are much stronger there as they can go for counter.
- In first match after the break, Cologne was not able to win much, only 1 time in 2.BL to Aue 2-1.
- HSV had a lot of problems with promoted teams at least and they collected only 1 Point in 4 duels.
- The last 10 matches are as follows 2-2-6 (HSV), and they scored nothing in 6 from 10.



SC Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

Statistic:

- In matches where Frankfurt stands on the pitch were spectacle with 68 goals this season so far.
- They scored 34 goals already what they did 93/94 at last. But they conceded a lot too with 34.
- Against no other team, Frankfurt has such a good record as against Freiburg.
- They won 11 from 23 games with Freiburg but they lost also 9 and draw 3.
- SC Freiburg is very weak at the end because they conceded already 5 goals in the last 3 minutes.
- With this bad period they lost already 10 Points in the last 3 minutes.
- According to the draw in last second against H96 they fall down to bottom place.
- SCF is the best team with 17 Points after 17 Rounds on bottom place, no one collected more.



VfB Stuttgart - Bor. M'Gladbach

Statistic:

- Gladbach is still in all 3 competitions active and this is the first time since 86/87.
- In this spectacular season they come in 3rd in league and was in semi cup final.
- VfB  is the weakest team at home with only 5 Points on their side in 8 matches.
- They never had such a weak stat at home like now ..... 4 goals scored only, 16 conceded.
- Gladbach was not able to get much on the road with only 2 win so far, 3 draws and 3 defeats.
- The last win away is still some time ago, on 8. Round they won in Hannover with 3-0.
- Wow, from the last 33 matches since 95/96 could Gladbach win only 3 against VfB (3-13-17).
- Only against Bayern Munich lost Gladbach more as against Stuttgart overall.
- In the last 8 BL games Gladbach was not able to keep a clean sheet what makes it difficult anyway.

Saturday Update 1 !!!

FSV Mainz 05 - SC Paderborn

Statistic:

- Both teams were on top after 4 Round but fall down huge and since then they have to fight.
- These teams have the longest winless run in BL so far with 9 and 7 games.
- Paderborn was not able to win much away from home (only Hamburg 3-0), 1-3-4.
- In this match Paderborn scored 3 times and in the other 7 road trips they scored also only 3 !!!
- Mainz is a team who can take the lead but they lost the most Points after leading (14).
- 10 from 14 Points they gave away in their own Arena.
- Key player Hofmann is back where they were unbeaten in 6 with him (3-3-0) without (0-6-5).
- Also they are not able to push in second half as they scored only 37% of their goals in 2nd half.
- On the other side Paderborn was extremely dangerous in 2nd half with 76% scored.

For both teams it is a big match as Mainz and Paderborn are standing in bottom half of the table and if they lose more Points it is getting more and more dangerous for them. It is also to see what team can find back on the level they had to begin of the season. Also a lot of injured players helped them not much before the winter break. At Mainz some of the key players are back like Hofmann who is an important player in midfield. SCP has a lot of problems at preparation as many players got injured and could not train much also in offensive they signed Lakic from Kaiserslautern for some days as they need an replacement for Ducksch who is out longer now.


FC Schalke 04 - Hannover 96

Statistic:

- H96 is hard to beat, they were able to kept a clean sheet 7 times already, last season only 6x.
- Also away from home they do better and lost only 1 of the last 5 (2-2-1).
- Under Coach Korkut Hannover was able to win 6 road games while in last 2 seasons they had only 5.
- Only Bayern Munich was able to collect more Points as Schalke 13 in the last games before the break.
- But S04 was winless in their last two home games. 1-2 against Cologne and 0-0 to HSV.
- From the last 22 matches to begin of the second half of the season, Schalke lost only 2 !!! (16-4-2).
- In the last 3 years Schalke won the opener, also 2013 to Hannover 5-4.
- Choupo Mouting is their best scorer and he has an excellent statistic right now.

It is an important match for both to come into the second half well as they have to play for some here. Schalke must look that they can close the gap more to the top and H96 do not want to lose the EL places. Schalke maybe with some problems to begin as I do not think that Choupo Mouting is absolutely ready after African Cup (maybe he is not in the squad for this game anyway) and also in defensive they signed Nastasic from ManCity who maybe needs time too. Santana is sold to Piräus yesterday what gives Coach Matteo less alternatives there. Keeper Fährmann got injured and will be replaced by Giefer today. The other positions remain unchanged as to last year. For H96 it looks like Coach Korkut counts on the same players like last match.



Freitag, 30. Januar 2015

VfL Wolfsburg - Bayern München

This is the opening match from German’s top league and it is a big match anyway. The second placed team from Wolfsburg welcomes the leader and giant Bayern Munich. This can be an interesting match above all between these two teams. Wolfsburg had a lot of negative emotions to begin of their preparation to the second half of the season with the accident from midfielder Malanda. They tried to be as professional as they can and it can be that the team is working closer together now after such a big fatal incident. It is obvious that they want to play for Malanda and maybe think about him in every game. In preparation they had a lot of problems above all in the defensive where some players had some problems and could not train like Naldo and some of his team mates. They conceded also a lot while the offensive looked great above all Peresic was in great shape and scored a lot. Short before the match today they sold striker and important hard worker in team Olic to Hamburg but on the other side they are very close so sign Schürrle from Chelsea. 

As always Bayern Munich travelled to Qatar and worked very hard there under excellent conditions. It is almost the same as every year there. The team looked tired to the end of the last year but the batteries are full now again and they want to go for the next records. One of these records are conceded as less as they can (4 goals at the moment) and to be unbeaten (league) in one season, what is a big aim from them. The problems with injured and absent players is going better and better because Coach Guardiola welcomes Alaba, Badstuber and Benatia back in training. Ok Benatia had a hard time as he could not train always with some back problems. All the other players were ready and they made a great preparation, only the long term injured players are still not ready yet like Lahm, Thiago, Martinez …..  For this encounter they must replace Ribery who got injured in the last days and Rafinha who is out recently. It should not be a big problem at all as a lot of big guns must on bench anyway because the squad is very big and all can be replaced well.

Overall the balance is on Bayern Munich side and they did not lose much against Wolfsburg. They like to play against them and the last matches were always a clear thing. But in the last match in Munich Wolfsburg was very close to get rewarded as their play was very good and the pressing as well. It can be a good formula to press and attack from beginning on but on the other side Bayern has such a good control in their game that they can overcome Wolfsburg with the fast passing. If Wolfsburg stands high it can be risky as well but they have to try anything to hurt Bayern anyway. 

Samstag, 3. Januar 2015

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