Freitag, 26. Februar 2016

Union Berlin - Karlsruher SC

Both teams were looking to the top places before the Season but the truth is much different after 22 matches now. Both have to look forward to get as soon as possible 40 Points to be safe early in the Season. Union had a lot of problems above all at home and could only win twice there. Nevertheless they have with 9 Points a good advantage to the bottom zone and this should be enough for the last matches not to get in danger. Of course they are only 3 Points behind KSC but both are only in the midfield of the table right now. KSC has with 8 Points to the top maybe a small chance with a winning streak to return but it is not realistic anyway.

Some problems are already there in Berlin and the next was that Coach Lewandowski got ill and is not available in the upcoming 3 weeks for his team. The interim Coach Hofschneider moves into the position as Head-Coach but he said that he does not want to make much changes compared to the last game. He has no contact to Lewandowski right now and they are working to prepare the team well for the game against KSC.
According to the long injury list with 7 absent players he has not the options to changes much anyway. The only good news is maybe the return from top striker Wood who is a candidate to be available again after he must pass against RB Leipzig. He should replace Quaner in attack and bring a bit more power and dangerousness in the play from Union who was not to see in Leipzig. No other changes possible, only that midfield player Zejnullahu could be out too according to his big problems at the moment.

In Karlsruhe they had to be satisfied with the result to Braunschweig 2-2 although they were expecting much more before the game. But after Sallihi saw the yellow red card they were lucky to come back and equalize in the end with Diamantakos who came surprisingly from bench in this game. Therefore Coach Kauczinski has to replace Sallihi on the wing for this match. For this position he has two opportunities. Former back wing Kempe is ready after knee injury and can replace Sallihi now or Valentini move from the right to the left wing while Traut move into the team and plays on the right wing. All the other positions maybe remain unchanged but Stoll is a big doubt in central back after having some problems in training with his thigh. For him can starts Gordon in central back who sit on bench for long time now. Also Diamantakos is an option from beginning on again while Hoffer is out of the starting lineup then.

We expect a close game with slight advantage for KSC and therefore we go for the away team here.

PICK: Karlsruher SC AHC +0,25 @ 1,75 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Samstag, 20. Februar 2016

1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05

A lot of troubel this Season in Hoffenheim, also a lot of changes on the sideline. They started with Gisdol but after less success they changed to Stevens a experienced Coach who should turn things around in relegation fight. This was not much the case and Stevens said good bye because of some heart problems. Now they count on a 28 years old unexperienced guy what is a big risk maybe. Planed was to work with him in the new Season but they have no real replacement for Stevens and gave him the trust to bring 1899 on track and out of the danger zone. His debut was good and he managed a draw against rival Bremen what was a success for them after some disappointing results lately. This is his first home match and they do all that the support will be there for the team. They started some advertising for the game against Mainz to get the stadium full. Despite this good idea the truth is on the pitch and it is very interesting how his team react at home where they are in a positon to be active and make the game and not as in Bremen react and go for counter. With Kamaric he has one players to replace due to suspension, also Herdling is out with knee injury.
 
The team from Mainz is high flying at the moment and they are running from win to win. Coach Schmidt is riding the wave of success but he was warning his players before the game in Hoffenheim. Also he talked a lot to his players under the week to find out if they have the right attitude for this game to continue their run. Some of his players are in a very good shape and this is some of the key facts that they are so good right now despite some missing players like important striker Muto. Also Donati suspended and Bell injured will be not available this time. Donati should be replaced by Brosinski who played the first half of the Season on this position on the wing. In central back he has with Bungert a good replacement but also youngster Hacke can be an option. All in all he expects a taff game but they have the weapons to take advantage in this game. The stability and compactness are key to stop the fast players from Hoffenheim and they can create some opportunities with fast counter attacks as well.
 
We have two teams with different situations. The home side comes with new Coach Nagelsmann into this game and is almost in a must win situation to close the gap to Bremen while Mainz has an excellent run and a lof of self confidence. Despite the new Coach I believe that Mainz can get a result here and continue their run.

PICK: FSV Mainz 05 AHC +0,25 @ 1,76 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Freitag, 19. Februar 2016

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV

Very im important match for the home team because after the win to begin against VfL Wolfsburg followed a big downtrend. They were not able to get much and getting more and more in danger now with only 1 Point ahead of Place 16. Therefore this game against Hamburg is absolutely key for them. On the other side had Hamburg a lot of Problems and they are falling down more and more but was able to win the game against Gladbach 3-2 at home last weekend what let them put some Points between them and danger zone. With 26 Points they are not safe of course but can work a bit more relaxed as the teams behind them.

Before the winter break Frankfurt was getting involved into relegation battle after a very bad run. They were thinking what should they do that they can avoid the worst case this Season. Coach Veh said that he wants some more option for his offensive play. Manager Hübner did the work and signed with Huszti and Fabian two guys with a lot of potential. But the main problems are in their defensive play. Sometimes they miss important players due to injury or suspension and sometimes they are not on best shape. Nevertheless they signed two players with Ayhan and Regäsel there too. But they solved not the main problem, the team is too offensive minded. All players working excellent if they have the ball but against the ball it is a lot to improve. Above all in central midfield where Stendera played at least, he is a very creative player but has his strength in offense not in defense. Also on the wing they had problems, youngster Regäsel should help to solve it but he had the best action also in offensive. Coach Veh does not count a lot on defensive, he tries to be successful in relegation battle with a very offensive minded team and does not care a lot of defensive work.

The start from Hamburg into 2016 was not so well with 2 defeats in a row. They started to do better against Cologne at home with a draw but they had some luck there. Nevertheless they improved in the last match a lot and they won to Gladbach 3-2 at home. This was maybe key for them to stay away from red zone what let Coach Labbadia and his team work a bit more relaxed and without any pressure for the upcoming match in Frankfurt. The preparation should be done with more fun and the motivation and mood can be much better with a win in the bag. Also it is very clear that they have less problems if they do not have to make the game. They can sit back and go for counter over their fast wings. This is what they like and the space will be there also against Frankfurt who is a very offensive minded team. In this case they are much more dangerous and create more.

The match up is exactly how Hamburg needs it. Frankfurt is in a positon where they must to be active and force the offensive play while Hamburg is coming over their fast players and try to use the space they get and overcome Frankfurt. Both teams are able to score and this will be the case, the offensive power from Frankfurt is to big to stop them while the defensive work from them is average what can Hamburg us of course. At the end we get an open game where we can expect at least 3 goals.

PICK: OVER 2,75 @ 2,09 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Greuther Fürth - MSV Duisburg

Very important match for MSV Duisburg and almost their last chance to keep hope alive to avoid relegation what is almost impossible. Between both teams are 16 Points and this says all at the moment. Fürth could take advantage with their 2-1 win to FSV Frankfurt last weekend because all of the teams behind them lose. This keep them in a very good position with 11 Points difference to the bottom zone what is almost impossible to bring them in danger right now.
MSV is only 5 Points behind place 16. what is their aim right now but to close the gap from 5 Points is not as easy at it looks for them according to their actual form. Also the teams above are getting Points sooner or later what makes it more difficult additional. Nevertheless they are planning already for 3.Bundesliga because all of them are realistic in club although the hope is there to enter Place 16. in the end. But they must win in Fürth of course if they want to have a chance and stay in the battle for the upcoming weeks.

After the 0-2 to St. Pauli at home Coach Ruthenbeck was very disappointed with his team and talked a lot from changes. May he has found the right things because his team was much better in Frankfurt where they could celebrate a 2-1 win against FSV. In all parts of the team they were working well and showed a good performance and it was a step forward in their style of play too. The Coach was very happy with his team a the new stability they showed in their play. Despite the good performance they must confirm it again this weekend.
According to the good play and the excellent changes before the game to FSV there are no changes expected. Coach Ruthenbeck should count on the same starting lineup again. He changed in central back with Franke instead of Röcker and also in central midfield played Hirsch while Stiepermann could move forward and replaced Tripic there.

They had so many hopes in their first home game 2016 and also that they can close the gap to the team above a bit. But after one minute their dreams were gone. In the following 89. Minutes they were trying a lot but only striker Tomane could convince a bit and it was seen that the quality in team is too less. They do not find a way to overcome KSC and they play was very limited, not many idea anyway. Nevertheless the hopes are still there in Duisburg but they have to improve a lot and if they do not find a way to score it is absolutely impossible to win matches. They have a lot of games where they were not able to score a single goal what is the main problem. For this match Coach Gruev who started well as Coach but was not able to win in the last 5 games with MSV plans some changes. First one is in central midfield where Holland is back from suspension who move in the team immediately and replace Albutat who was not so bad against KSC and one of the active players.
In attack they have a lot of problems and most of the players could not convince there. With Scheidhauer is an attacker out of the team despite good preparation but Chanturia his replacement disappointed too what let Onuegbu and Iljutcenko hope for a starting place against Fürth.

The home team should have the much better class and take advantage of this against a team who has a lot of problems on the road and scored only 6 times.

PICK: Greuther Fürth AHC -0,5 @ 1,97 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Sonntag, 14. Februar 2016

Union Berlin - 1860 München

We have only 4 Places between this two teams but already 10 Points before Round 21. Union has still some distance to the danger zone but should not feel to safe already. On the other side 1860 is still under some pressure and they should try to get some Points, this is maybe the right time because all of their rivals failed this weekend so far. They wanted to start well into 2016 but they were not able to beat Nürnberg although they made a great game and showed some improvements according to their play 2015. But all in all only the result counts and this was negative with 0-1. Union had a really weak start into 2016 and was behind 0-2 already but in the end they showed great fighting spirit and made a great comeback to get at least a Point in Kaiserslautern.

If we look back to 2015 and the last results where they can beat Düsseldorf 3-0 and Sandhausen 1-0 the trend is positive for them right now. But the main aim before the Season was Place 1-6 and right now they are far away from this. Nevertheless Coach Lewandowski wants to climb up some places and have a nice end for this Season.
Compared to the last matches he has to replace some players because with Thiel and Skrzybski they got two injured players against Kaiserslautern. Both are out long time now beside Korte. This let Lewandowski thing about some good alternatives. He has some in back but it is also possible to change the system from practiced 3-5-2 to a more compact 4-2-3-1. With Pogatetz they singed a new defender in the break, he should help to lead the defensive line but was out due to illness in the past. This time he can move into the starting lineup, also Brandy and Redondo are options for the offensive part. Doubtful under the week were Zejnullahu and Leistner but they are maybe ready to start.

If you have seen 1860 to the end of 2015 and to begin of 2016 it was a big step forward although they lost 0-1 to Nürnberg. They were much more creative and had 10-7 chances in this game and it was only due to the top class of Nürnberg's keeper Schäfer that they did not score. Despite the lose the play of them was improved a lot as already mentioned above. With some new players in the starting lineup they have much more power and creativity up front. Also the defensive worked much better with new singing Mauersberger who is an very experienced player and chief of the defensive now.
Also striker Mölders or midfield player Aycicek gives the team much more power. The only missing player who should be key in Möhlmanns idea is Sukalo who comes from Greuther Fürth but he has some problems and know one knows from where they are. He miss this game again. Also new guy Beister is not ready for the starting lineup but he had some good actions and showed that he can help the team when he comes in and push them additionally. After the good performance Möhlmann counts on the same starting lineup as against Nürnberg again.

This encounter is the next big chance for 1860 to bring them back into a better position in relegation battle. After Paderborn losing to Kaiserslautern they can overcome them with a win. This is very important to close the gap to the teams ahead as the upcoming weeks are getting more and more difficult and the pressure is getting higher and higher. They may face the right opponent to the right time with Union as this team has a lot of problems at home and could win only twice in their stadium this Season so far. Against 1860 they are winless in 6 attempts and this let 1860 hope a lot to continue the run. The former fortress from Union is gone although the crowd is great there. We believe for a good result for bottom team 1860 because not every team can fail from the bottom this weekend.

PICK: 1860 München AHC +0,5 @ 1,81 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

SC Freiburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf

Both teams had not the best start into 2016 because both lost their opening game. The second place team from Freiburg was not able to hold Bochum down and lost there 0-2. They are now in a situation where all the rivals are very close to them and they have them in back already what put them in a must win situation now. If they lose again Nürnberg can overcome them on monday and they are losing the good position they had for long time. In Düsseldorf they wait for better times and changed the Coach again what let them hope to get out of all the trouble but it was not possible and they showed really nothing against Heidenheim and lost deserved 0-1. If they can not get any Points in the upcoming weeks they are very close to fall behind the red line and the situation is getting more difficult for them as they are at the moment already.

With 4 wins out of the last 5 games before the winter break was Freiburg on a good way and they were defending their good position against Teams like Nürnberg and St. Pauli. After the first game it is a bit gone above all the advantage they had because of their lose. With two strikers Nielsen and Niederlechner they want to give their offensive new power although they have one of the best in this league. Despite this two guys they were not able to score above all Niederlechner had good actions and attempts on goal but was unlucky so far. Their top striker Petersen is still out and a big miss for the team from Coach Streich. Additional they miss with Philipp and Frantz two very good players who showed their strength in 2015 and they were key for success of Freiburg.
All three should be out again and Coach Streich is searching for a good balance and more danger in front of the goal. With Nielsen and Niederlechner starts the two new guys again but they must be more clinical today. No other changes expected.

It was not much which let Düsseldorf hope after the first game 2016. They were really awful and had a lot of problems above all their offensive play is harmless and they have to improve a lot there. But with which players should they do this. They are facing this problem some month now and if they are not able to score it is very hard to win matches. One goal ok but this is too less above all against a top team like Freiburg is. Therefore Coach Kurz must find the right tactic to overcome this strong opponent but have also take an eye on the defensive work too. Not much players are in good shape, only Rensing and Demirbay are maybe players who can lead this team but this is too less in relegation fight. 
It is very open if Kurz put out the same starting lineup as against Heidenheim. Some changes are possible. With Bellinghausen he has a fighter in hand who can bring some power in their play, also Bolly with his quickness on the wing and for some fast counter attacks. With Ya Konan they miss a striker suspended while new signing Mavrias and Djurdjic has his hopes but they had a bad performance against Heidenheim anyway.

Overall this match is very interesting. Promotion candidate against relegation candidate but if we compare both sides it is almost a clear thing for Freiburg in their own and close stadium despite their missing players. The class are there and they can be very dangerous anyway. On the other side is Düsseldorf a team who has not the best moment therefore advantage Freiburg !!!

Samstag, 13. Februar 2016

MSV Duisburg - Karlsruher SC


Both teams expected much more for the start but Duisburg got the 12 defeat this Season to Bielefeld 1-2 while Karlsruhe had a lot of luck to get a draw against FSV Frankfurt. With this draw KSC has 10 Points to the top 3 and this seems almost impossible to close this big gap in the upcoming matches as they need an excellent run. MSV has already 8 Points to the safe zone and 5 Points to Place 16. what is their goal now. To close the gap they must start winning immediately and hope that the rivals all fail as last weekend.

Bottom Team Duisburg collected 6 Points out of 5 matches before the winter break but according to the situation and the very weak start into the Season under former Coach Lettieri who managed only 6 Points in 13 matches is too less to remain in 2.Bundesliga. New Coach Gruev had more success but it was also to less and with the lost game in Bielefeld after taking the lead early he was very disappointed in the end. It was seen in their test friendlies that it is an up and down with very bad results and also good results. The stability is not there to start a winning streak what is needed urgently if they do not want to lose all their hope and chances already at this time of the Season. One of their biggest hopes is new signed striker Tomane who should help to solve the offensive problem as they have the weakest offense in 2.Bundesliga. In the remaining 14 matches they need around 25 Points to have a chance to stay in the league. For this they should start winning immediately otherwise they are already relegated. But if all their rivals losing as well the chance is still there, of course. Nevertheless they made a good game in Bielefeld fight hard but was a bit unlucky in the end above all if they fall behind they had some problems to bounce back. Also the luck was not on their side because they got a clear penalty not rewarded what should have turned the match into a better way for them.
The starting lineup can be chanced a bit above all in defense where Bohl showed a much better performance as central back before the winter break as on the wing now. He gave the team much more stability in the middle, therefore Feltscher can move back on his position on the wing and starts after sitting on bench in Bielefeld. Also in central midfield is Holland suspended and must be replaced,. The first one for this position is Albutat. The other positions should remain unchanged according to less alternatives.

The team from Coach Kauczinski moved very well into the winter break after winning to St. Pauli and Fürth. Also the preparation was excellent with some good wins above all against Bayern Munich where they showed a real good performance and should have won higher as only 2-1. This was maybe in some of the players head as they showed a really weak performance against FSV Frankfurt and had a lot of luck not to lose in the end what should have been deserved for them. With this draw they can be happy but their aim is to move up and get closer to the top 3 but after such a performance they are not really ready for.
Overall they have to improve a lot in all parts of the team. According to last performance some changes are possible. First one is Kempe who must pass injured while Sallihi replaced him well and scored the equalizer against FSV Frankfurt what gave him some self confidence as well. In midfield and offensive are Nazarov and Fahrenholz options what gave Barry and Torres some pressure now. The third Gouaida made a better game and should be safe.

Both teams have the weakest offense with 16 and 20 goals scored so far, therefore not many goals expected anyway. This can be a big fight between two teams which search for a better future. I compare both at the same level above all MSV is much better at home while KSC has some problems on the road. All the last 6 matches ended with a positive outcome for the home team what let us hope to get something out of this game with the HC on our side. A draw should be possible for MSV at least although they are almost in a must win situation. 

PICK: MSV Duisburg AHC +0,25 @ 2,02 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Sonntag, 7. Februar 2016

Week Performance (5) !!!

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Week 5 !!!

All Advices can be checked additionally under Tab "Archive GER-Picks" + "Archive EUR-Picks" + "Archive POD". Of course, all Advices are verified !!!


German Soccer Advices:
05.02.201620:301.BL Bor. M'Gladbachvs. Werder BremenOVER >3 1,75  5-1
06.02.201615:301.BLFC Schalke 04vs. VfL Wolfsburg101,773-0
06.02.201615:301.BLEintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB StuttgartOVER>31,982-4




vs. 








vs. 





We are VERIFIED with Bettingadvice Surveillance Team and Blogabet !!!


S T A T I S T I C:

Total (GER):
PICKS WON VOID LOST HITRATE STAKE PROFIT YIELD 
326 175 30 121 59,12% 978 +74,785 8,42% 

All Seasons (GER):
SEASON PICKS WON VOID LOST HITRATE STAKE PROFIT YIELD 
2015/16 47 25 4 1858,14% 141 +8,145 6,314% 
2014/15 73 42 27 60,87% 219 +22,40 10,821% 
2013/14 87 47 31 60,26% 261 +23,30 9,957% 
2012/13 119 61 13 45 57,55% 357 +20,94 6,585% 

February 2016 (GER):
PICKS WON VOID LOST HITRATE STAKE PROFIT YIELD 
33 0 0100,00% 9 7,5083,333%

Samstag, 6. Februar 2016

Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart

Statistic:

- Frankfurt's record is really not the best against Stuttgart with 30-19-40.
- Only against Bayern (47), Dortmund and Hamburg (41) they lost more games in BL.
- From the last 10 games in Frankfurt won Stuttgart 7, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- In these matches Stuttgart scored incredible 2,6 goals average and scored in every game.
- The last meeting was an amazing spectacle with a 5-4 for Stuttgart.
- Eintracht scored 150 goals against Stuttgart in their BL history, against no other team more.
- But on the other side scored Stuttgart 167 goals against Frankfurt, also their highest number.
- Stuttgart won 3 BL matches in a row now and collected more Points under Kramny as under Zorniger.
- The last time they start such a rund was under Coach Labbadia in April 2011 with 4 wins in a row.
- Alex Meier scored at home 9 times in 7 matches, on the road he has only 1 in 8 matches.

Very important match for both teams, both are even with 21 Points and only the winner can look to climb up and get a more comfortable distance to the drop zone. With only 2 Points ahead of Bremen it is very important not to lose Points at this moment otherwise they will have some hard weeks.

Veh’s team had a very bad period before the winter break but they come out very well and won to Wolfsburg 3-2 and got a Point in Augsburg 0-0. Despite the good start and unbeaten run 2016 they must be aware of their situation. They can not make any gifts now, no they should try to walk on and leave the danger zone in the next weeks. For this important second half of the Season Manager Hübner signed a few new players like Husti for the midfield, Fabian for the attack and Ayhan for the defensive. Despite the good two matches they signed additional two players from Hertha BSC with Ben Hatira and Regäsel which puts Veh in an excellent position with a lot of options more he can choose now. Compared to the last match changes are a must because two players from the defensive line are suspended with Abraham and Hasebe. It is more as open what Veh plans as he let the team train behind closed doors. The alternative can be to move Russ back from midfield into central back while Husti plays central beside Stendera in midfield. At the open position on back wing can get Ayhan a chance from beginning on or he puts youngster Regäsel immediately into the starting lineup. This is more as open. In offensive has Ben Hatira also good chances to get some minutes as he is a player who can decide a game with his quick moves.  

After Stuttgart’s decision to suck Zorniger and gave Kramny their trust it is much better now. They are doing a much better job and having much better numbers compared to the former Coach. Also they have much more success as well. They are unbeaten in 5 now and coming to Frankfurt with 3 wins in a row what push their self confidence very well. With wins to Cologne and Hamburg 2016 they are aiming for better times and also for more stability. Under Zorniger the play was only offensive minded and they forgot to defend, Kramny made it possible that the balance between offensive and defensive is much better. Of course he saved not all problems but most of them. Nevertheless they are playing an offensive style but with much more compactness. They are creating a lot of attempts on goal but they use much more as to begin of the Season now. It looks like that Kramny found the right balance and feeling for his team what the last matches showed, of course. Although Harnik is back from long injury he sits on bench as joker while attacker Ginczek is still working to recover from knee injury. Therefore the same starting lineup is expected as last week.

Both teams are in good shape 2016 so far and both are aiming to get out of the trouble at the bottom. Despite the good results both showed that they have a really good offensive but in the defensive work they are very unstable. Additional has Frankfurt to change their defensive line two times what help them not much for compactness. We believe in goals in this encounter.

PICK: OVER 3 @ 1,98 (3 Units / Flat Stake)




FC Schalke 04 - VfL Wolfsburg

Statistic:

- Schalke won the last 5 home games against Wolfsburg with 13-3 goals difference.
- The last win in Gelsenkirchen celebrated Wolfsburg in September 2009 with 2-1.
- In all their 18 matches in Veltins Arena could Wolfsburg never keep a clean sheet.
- In these 18 matches they have lost 10 times, 5 draws and 3 wins by conceding 33 goals.
- They are coming to Schalke with a winless run from 6 games now (0-3-3).
- The last time they have such a big negative run was under Coach Magath with 7 matches in a row.
- Additional they are very harmless on the road with only 6 Points collected, at the bottom of road table.
- The only win away from home was against newcomer Darmstadt with 1-0.
- S04 scored the most goals after counter attacks in the league. This is clear with Sane and Meyer.
- Wolfsburg scored no counter goal this Season, last Season they were with 10 very successful.

A lot of trouble arrived at Schalke after the harsh 1-3 defeat to Bremen to begin of the second half of the Season. They took the lead early but could not take advantage of their good chances they had and Bremen used almost all what let them win here. Breitenreiter was criticized in the medias but he could bring his team back on track with the 2-0 win to Darmstadt what was a very good sign of the team as well. They showed some good actions despite the awful pitch they had to play there and with Mayer and Sane they had two really good offensive wings who made the difference. The team looked much better as against Bremen and they used their chances this time and allowed nothing in defense. It looks like that Breitenreiter counts the third time on the same starting lineup what will help the team as they know the process much better. At home they were only beaten from defensive minded teams like Cologne and Bremen and also of giant Bayern Munich. Against all the other teams they were able to get at least a result. With Wolfsburg they are facing a team who can not play defense at all because of their more offensive style. This can bring Schalke in a very good position and all hope that they can continue the positive way now.

I wrote already a lot the last two Rounds from the actual form and trend from Wolfsburg. Nothing has changed so far. They are the weakest road time this Season with only 6 Points collected and only 6 goals scored in 9 matches but 16 conceded in these. Of course it had been much better if they had used their good opportunities the whole Season. It was also seen against Frankfurt or Cologne lately that all the players have not the freshness and quickness of last Season where all was working for them. This time they have all much worse statistics and this shows the trend of the team. In Frankfurt it was close and maybe a coin toss who will win because a really open game. Against Cologne they had a lot of problems to open their play against a well organized team. Both central back Naldo and Dante were awful and produced many mistakes, it is not sure if Hecking changes there. With Knoche he has one in back to give him a chance. In central midfield they have a big lose with fighter Gustavo. He was back after injury but booked his 5th yellow card and is out again. With ihm Wolfsburg is much better and has much more stability, also they collected more Points with him as without him. If Träsch returns after illness he can replace him in central midfield and play beside Guilavogui. Very possible is also that Vieirinha move back and replace Jung on the back wing while Caliguri moves into the starting lineup again. But it is not sure yet because with Schürrle they have one offensive player doubtful. In this case Jung can remain in the starting lineup if Schürrle is not ready. The most problems are up front, with Dost they have their most dangerous attacker injured, Bendtner his replacement is not really a good one, Kruse has some form problems, Schürrle needs to many attempts for goals and Draxler has some good moments but this is not enough.

Very important match for both teams, both are fighting for an international spot and should not lose more ground. Schalke has overcome Wolfsburg already and is 3 Points ahead of them. What makes it much easier for them. Also the return from former S04 player Draxler should have a positive effect for S04. It is expected a big hail of catcalls against him the whole match from the crowd. This should push Schalke additional. The actual form is clear on the home side, Wolfsburg in big crisis, away from home anyway.

PICK: FC Schalke 04 AHC 0 @ 1,77 (3 Units / Flat Stake)

Freitag, 5. Februar 2016

Bor. M'Gladbach - Werder Bremen

These two teams meet each other twice this Season already. Both has won Bremen, in league and in Cup where they could win a great entertaining game in Gladbach. If both sides meet each other recently it was always a really great spectacle and according to Bremen’s defensive and offensive form it is not far from that again anyway.

After a really great run with Schubert on the sideline the team showed some problems in 2016 so far. It may can be that some of their key players are not ready because of injuries or suspension. Above all in central back they are very short of options due to many missing players. To solve this they signed Hinteregger but he has not reached his top level and need still some matches to get a better feeling for Bundesliga football. Also the absent from captain and head of the team Xhaka in central midfield is a big blow right now. They tried to find the right balance without him but it was not exactly what they expected and the problems were there more and more. With Dahoud they had the second starter in midfield out last game and both could not replaced what let them lose to Mainz 0-1. This time he is expected back in squad but it is a small doubt behind him but nevertheless the hope is there that he can help the team for more balance between defensive and offensive again. Although they lost both games 2016 the offensive play was not so bad and were absolutely able to create a lot of good opportunities. But they wasted with and therefore it was not possible to win. With Raffael, Traore, Hofmann, Johnson and Stindl they have really good offensive power. If Dahoud is not able to start Schubert will count again on a 4-1-4-1 system what he already used in Mainz.

It was very important for Bremen to start well into 2016 above all to hold the contact to the teams above. With 19 Points they are still 5 Points ahead to get direct relegated but they have also 2 Points less to the teams above and stand on Place 16 which is not a safe one as they have to play two matches against the third of 2.Bundesliga to remain in 1.BL. The moral and team spirit is excellent because they had to come two times from behind, Schalke 0-1 (3-1) and Hertha 1-3 (3-3). All players know what the time has brought to them right now and they are looking forward to continue their good play and run. According to the situation they have they must walk on and try to get all possible Points out of this encounter. Their offensive is working good at the moment with Ujah and Pizzarro up front while the wings are build with Öztunali and Grillitsch both did their job but Coach Skripnik is thinking to bring Bartels and Kleinheisler because both made a lot of noise against Hertha and helped to turn this match to a positive end. In defense should be all the same and in central midfield as well.

Overall both teams are aiming for the win, Gladbach after starting with two loses into 2016 and also losing 5 of the last 6 must try to turn things around while Bremen comes to Gladbach with a lot of self confidence after turning 2 matches into their way. Gladbach really strong home side against Bremen one of the best away teams this Season but both have conceded a lot. Both have a lot of problems to defend well also both keeper has not the best statistic this Season. Both offensive rows are very powerful and should be able to deliver a few goals.

PICK: OVER 3 @ 1,75 Flat Stake (3 Units)